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Which NHL Teams’ Fast Starts Are Legitimate?

It’s early in the NHL season, but a few teams are off to stronger starts than some may have expected. The question is, how real are these starts? Let’s dive…

Published: Monday, 26 October 2026 at 3:05 PM
Which NHL Teams’ Fast Starts Are Legitimate?
Key Things to Know
  • Alex Chauvancy assesses early-season NHL surprises, arguing the Bruins, Senators, Devils, and Mammoth look legitimate while questioning Toronto and Seattle.
  • The 9-2-1 Boston Bruins lead the Atlantic Division with an NHL-best plus-22 goal differential and strong underlying metrics.
  • The writer views the 7-4-2 Toronto Maple Leafs as vulnerable due to weak five-on-five defense and a 46 percent xG share.
The Story in 60 Seconds

Alex Chauvancy evaluates whether early-season NHL surges are sustainable, arguing that strong starts by the Boston Bruins, Ottawa Senators, New Jersey Devils, and Utah Mammoth appear legitimate based on five-on-five underlying metrics. The 9-2-1 Bruins boast a 55.4 percent expected goals share under head coach Marco Sturm, while New Jersey leads the league at 61.1 percent after trading for goaltender Connor Hellebuyck.

Conversely, the writer expresses skepticism regarding the Toronto Maple Leafs and Seattle Kraken, citing defensive vulnerabilities and poor underlying shares below 48 percent. While Utah and New Jersey face netminding questions, Chauvancy believes their high-end chance generation positions them well for playoff contention alongside Boston and Ottawa.

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