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Pursuit of Connor Hellebuyck Tells a Different Analytics Story

Hockey analytics has naturally evolved over time, but one of the most general positions is that goaltending is very hard to predict, which makes it a riskier investment than other positions. With the New Jersey Devils acquiring Connor Hellebuyck from…

Published: Monday, 26 October 2026 at 8:34 PM
Pursuit of Connor Hellebuyck Tells a Different Analytics Story
Key Things to Know
  • Scott Cullen argues analytics-driven NHL teams view star goaltender Connor Hellebuyck as an exception to standard goaltending valuation models.
  • The New Jersey Devils acquired goaltender Connor Hellebuyck from the Winnipeg Jets in exchange for forward Dawson Mercer and other assets.
  • NHL insider Elliotte Friedman reported the Carolina Hurricanes actively explored trade assets in an effort to acquire Hellebuyck.
The Story in 60 Seconds

Writer Scott Cullen analyzes how the pursuit of goaltender Connor Hellebuyck highlights an evolving perspective among analytically driven NHL front offices. Despite hockey analytics generally viewing goaltenders as volatile and risky investments, analytics-focused teams including the New Jersey Devils, Carolina Hurricanes, and Buffalo Sabres pursued Hellebuyck, with the Devils acquiring him from the Winnipeg Jets in exchange for assets including Dawson Mercer.

Cullen argues that while general managers such as Carolina's Eric Tulsky and New Jersey's Sunny Mehta acknowledge the unpredictability of goaltending, an elite performer like Hellebuyck represents an exception to standard analytic skepticism. Although Hellebuyck's postseason save percentage sits at .903 compared to his .916 regular-season mark, Cullen notes front offices viewed him as an elite talent worth significant investment.

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