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Cowboys’ playoff odds look surprisingly good despite rollercoaster start

The Dallas Cowboys have a 44% chance of making the postseason after a Week 7 win over the Eagles.

Published: Thursday, 29 October 2026 at 1:00 PM
Cowboys’ playoff odds look surprisingly good despite rollercoaster start
Key Things to Know
  • The Dallas Cowboys retain a 44 percent chance of making the postseason despite a 3-4 start.
  • A victory over the Arizona Cardinals in Week 8 would reportedly raise Dallas's playoff odds to 51 percent.
  • The New York Giants lead the NFC East race with a 48 percent chance compared to Dallas's 40 percent.
The Story in 60 Seconds

The Dallas Cowboys hold a 44 percent chance of making the postseason heading into Week 8 despite a 3-4 record, according to The Athletic's playoff simulator. Writer Marcus Mosher notes that Dallas stabilized its season with a Monday Night Football victory over the Philadelphia Eagles, keeping the team firmly in contention within an open NFC East race where Dallas holds a 40 percent chance to win the division.

Mosher highlights that an upcoming Week 8 victory over the Arizona Cardinals would raise the Cowboys' postseason odds to 51 percent, whereas a defeat would drop their chances to 31 percent. Winning the next two matchups against Arizona and Indianapolis would reportedly lift Dallas to a 61 percent postseason probability.

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