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Expected Points and clinical shooting: Stats highlight worries about sustainability of Milan’s Serie A form

By: Oliver Fisher AC Milan have collected more points than they deserved so far in the 2026-27 Serie A season, according to statistical data. As MilanPress write, the Expected Points ranking makes for worrying reading. The metric compares the points…

By Oliver Fisher · Sempremilan

Published: Tuesday, 10 November 2026 at 12:00 PM

Key Things to Know

Statistical data shows AC Milan are over-performing their Expected Points total by seven points in Serie A.
Milan have accumulated 24 points from 11 matches despite an expected points tally of around 17.
Four Milan players—Rabiot, Moreira, Cisse, and Pulisic—lead Serie A in shot conversion rates.

The Story in 60 Seconds

SempreMilan reports that statistical metrics have raised concerns regarding the sustainability of AC Milan's Serie A form under Ruben Amorim. Through the first 11 league rounds of the 2026-27 season, Milan sit fourth with 24 points, having over-performed their Expected Points total of roughly 17 by seven points.

According to data from Kickest, Milan's strong results are driven by clinical finishing, with players Adrien Rabiot, Moreira, Cisse, and Christian Pulisic leading Serie A in shot conversion rates. However, additional metrics show the team ranks near the bottom for final-third entries and touches inside the opposition box.

Read the full article on Sempremilan

Expected Points and clinical shooting: Stats highlight worries about sustainability of Milan’s Serie A form

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