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The Bucks (seriously!) and 4 other NBA teams that will exceed expectations in 2026-27

After some not-so-great picks last season, let's try again to identify some squads that could surpass their expected win totals.

Published: Thursday, 24 September 2026 at 9:30 AM
The Bucks (seriously!) and 4 other NBA teams that will exceed expectations in 2026-27
Key Things to Know
  • BetMGM preseason win over/under projections serve as the benchmark for evaluating team expectations.
  • The Orlando Magic enter the 2026-27 season with an over/under win line set at 43.5.
  • Orlando previously won 45 games despite 83 combined missed games from their primary four-man core.
The Story in 60 Seconds

An analysis evaluates NBA regular-season win totals against BetMGM preseason projections for the upcoming 2026-27 season. The preview examines franchises projected to surpass expectations, beginning with the Orlando Magic, whose preseason over/under total is set at 43.5 wins following a 45-win campaign last season.

The Magic's outlook is evaluated following an offseason coaching change that brought in Sean Sweeney. Despite previous injury absences totaling 83 missed games across a core featuring Franz Wagner, Paolo Banchero, Jalen Suggs, and Desmond Bane, Orlando is identified as a candidate to exceed its win projection.

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