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Is the Giants’ season already over? What our playoff simulator says about NY’s odds

The Giants entered Monday night with a 30 percent chance to make the playoffs. After losing the game and Jaxson Dart, their odds plummeted.

Published: Friday, 25 September 2026 at 9:45 AM
Is the Giants’ season already over? What our playoff simulator says about NY’s odds
Key Things to Know
  • Giants starting quarterback Jaxson Dart will miss the remainder of the regular season due to left knee surgery.
  • The Athletic's NFL Playoff Simulator dropped the Giants' postseason odds to 10 percent following Dart's injury.
  • The simulator projects New York's most likely regular season finish as 7-10 (21 percent) or 6-11 (20 percent).
The Story in 60 Seconds

New York Giants head coach John Harbaugh announced that starting quarterback Jaxson Dart will undergo left knee surgery and miss the remainder of the regular season. Dart suffered the injury during the Giants' Monday night loss against the Rams, elevating backup Jameis Winston. Following the injury update, The Athletic's NFL Playoff Simulator dropped the team's postseason odds to 10 percent.

According to the simulator's projection model developed by Austin Mock, the Giants' playoff chances fell from 30 percent before the loss to 25 percent postgame, before plummeting further after Dart's diagnosis. The model projects the Giants will most likely finish the regular season at 7-10 or 6-11, leaving them favored in only one game following their Week 8 bye.

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