Scottie Scheffler enters the 2026 U.S. Open as the clear betting favorite with +550 odds. A victory at Shinnecock Hills would secure his first U.S. Open title and complete the career Grand Slam, a historic achievement in modern golf.
The World No. 1 has been in this position before. Scheffler was the favorite at both the Masters and the PGA Championship this season but failed to convert, finishing second and T14. Still, his consistent, high-level performance keeps him at the top of the board. With four major titles already secured, the U.S. Open remains the final piece of the puzzle for his legacy.
His main challenger is World No. 2 Rory McIlroy. McIlroy arrives on Long Island with +1100 odds and serious momentum after winning the Masters in April. He followed that victory with a T7 finish at the PGA Championship, proving his form is holding up under major pressure. He is positioned as the primary threat to Scheffler’s pursuit of history.
Just behind the top two is Jon Rahm (+1200), the first LIV Golf player on the odds list. Rahm’s strong T2 finish at the PGA Championship last month was his best major result since 2023 and serves as a reminder of the threat he poses to the PGA Tour’s elite. Other notable contenders include Cameron Young (+1800), Xander Schauffele (+2000), and Tommy Fleetwood (+2000), all looking to break through for a major title. The stage is set for a showdown between golf’s biggest names.
