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Randy Arozarena’s likely Mariners exit will open a door to an Aaron Judge fantasy

The Mariners are going to lose Randy Arozarena as a free agent, but it's not all bad.

Published: Monday, 12 October 2026 at 4:00 PM
Randy Arozarena’s likely Mariners exit will open a door to an Aaron Judge fantasy
Key Things to Know
  • Zachary Rymer suggests Randy Arozarena's free agency exit could net the Seattle Mariners a valuable compensatory draft pick.
  • The Mariners are expected to extend a $23.15 million qualifying offer that Arozarena is anticipated to reject.
  • As a revenue-sharing recipient, Seattle would receive a post-first-round pick if Arozarena signs a contract worth over $50 million.
The Story in 60 Seconds

Zachary Rymer argues that Randy Arozarena's expected departure in free agency could provide the Seattle Mariners with a valuable compensatory draft pick. After recording a 148 OPS+ and 5.7 rWAR in 2026, the 31-year-old outfielder is expected to receive and reject a $23.15 million qualifying offer before signing a lucrative contract elsewhere on the open market.

Rymer notes that because Seattle is a revenue-sharing recipient, Arozarena signing a deal exceeding $50 million would grant the Mariners a compensatory pick after the first round. The writer highlights that teams have previously landed superstar talent through such picks, specifically citing the New York Yankees drafting Aaron Judge 32nd overall in 2013.

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