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These 3 drivers’ NASCAR championship hopes won’t survive Phoenix

There are eight NASCAR Cup Series drivers facing elimination at Phoenix Raceway this weekend.

Published: Sunday, 18 October 2026 at 11:00 AM
These 3 drivers’ NASCAR championship hopes won’t survive Phoenix
Key Things to Know
  • Beyond the Flag predicts Daniel Suarez, Chris Buescher, and Ryan Preece will be eliminated from championship contention at Phoenix.
  • Drivers must finish Sunday's race within 152 points of leader Kyle Larson to remain mathematically eligible for the title.
  • Daniel Suarez currently sits 215 points out of the championship lead after zero top-12 playoff finishes.
The Story in 60 Seconds

Beyond the Flag argues that Daniel Suarez, Chris Buescher, and Ryan Preece will likely be mathematically eliminated from NASCAR Cup Series championship contention at Phoenix Raceway. With four races remaining and points leader Kyle Larson holding a commanding advantage, any driver who fails to remain within 152 points of the lead following Sunday's Freeway Insurance 500 will see their title hopes end.

The writer notes that Suarez sits 215 points behind Larson after struggling to secure top-12 finishes across the first six playoff events. Meanwhile, RFK Racing teammates Buescher and Preece are facing steep deficits of 216 and 227 points respectively, leaving them facing nearly insurmountable odds to remain mathematically eligible for the championship.

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