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SCOUTING RB LEIPZIG: The chances conceded explain their uneven start

There has been little middle ground for RB Leipzig this season. Six league games under Martín Demichelis have brought three wins, three defeats and 27 goals across the two ends. They have spent almost as long trailing as leading. The…

Published: Tuesday, 20 October 2026 at 4:44 AM
SCOUTING RB LEIPZIG: The chances conceded explain their uneven start
Key Things to Know
  • Mehedi Hassan writes that RB Leipzig's high rate of conceded chances explains their uneven start under Martín Demichelis.
  • RB Leipzig won three and lost three of their first six Bundesliga matches, allowing 9.9 non-penalty expected goals.
  • Leipzig scored 16 non-penalty goals from 12.5 npxG, with Christopher Nkunku scoring four times.
The Story in 60 Seconds

Mehedi Hassan analyzes RB Leipzig's uneven start under manager Martín Demichelis, noting that while their attack is prolific, high-quality chances conceded explain their inconsistent results. Through six Bundesliga matches, Leipzig recorded three wins and three defeats, scoring 16 non-penalty goals from 12.5 non-penalty expected goals (npxG). Christopher Nkunku leads their scoring output with four goals, but defensive vulnerabilities have seen them concede 9.9 npxG and 11 non-penalty goals.

The analysis highlights that Leipzig have spent almost as much time trailing (237 minutes) as leading (248 minutes). Under Demichelis's 4-3-3 setup, Leipzig maintain territorial control through extensive possession and rank high in open-play passing. However, their pressing intensity ranks 11th in the league, allowing opponents space that compromises their defensive high line despite impressive creative output led by David Raum and Antonio Nusa.

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