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How Everton stack up in the expected points table

Those in football often say you should not really start looking at the table until you are 10 games in.

By Patric Ridge · Toffee Web

Published: Tuesday, 10 November 2026 at 9:55 AM

Key Things to Know

Patric Ridge notes Everton sit sixth in the Premier League but rank 11th based on expected points.
Everton have collected 2.4 points more than expected, making them the fifth-largest overperformers in the league.
Everton have conceded 10 goals despite an expected goals against tally of 14.2.

The Story in 60 Seconds

Patric Ridge writes that while Everton sit sixth in the Premier League after 10 games, underlying metrics show they rank 11th in expected points. Everton have collected 2.4 more points than expected, ranking as the league's fifth-biggest overperformers behind Arsenal, Brighton, Chelsea, and Liverpool.

According to the analysis, Everton's higher position stems largely from defensive overperformance, conceding only 10 goals against an expected 14.2. Ridge argues that with James Tarkowski and Jarrad Branthwaite in defense, manager David Moyes should allow the team to play with more attacking freedom.

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How Everton stack up in the expected points table

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