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Damning data: stats that show Michael Carrick’s luck was bound to run out | Andrew Beasley

Manchester United have been the third-best team in the Premier League for the period in which Michael Carrick has been their head coach. It is some effort for his job to be so under threat when only Arsenal (57 points)…

Published: Monday, 26 October 2026 at 6:50 PM
Damning data: stats that show Michael Carrick’s luck was bound to run out | Andrew Beasley
Key Things to Know
  • Andrew Beasley argues underlying data shows Michael Carrick's early success at Manchester United was statistically unsustainable.
  • Manchester United sit 16th in the Premier League amid an eight-game winless run in all competitions.
  • Opta data shows United outperformed their expected points by 12.7 during Carrick's tenure last season.
The Story in 60 Seconds

Andrew Beasley argues that Michael Carrick's struggles at Manchester United were inevitable following an unsustainable, fortune-aided run during his interim spell last season. Despite accumulating 46 Premier League points under Carrick, United currently sit 16th and are winless in eight matches across all competitions. Heavy defeats against Como and Bournemouth have placed the manager's position under severe scrutiny.

According to underlying data, United outperformed their expected points by 12.7 last season, masking major tactical shortcomings. Beasley highlights that Carrick's side struggles to break down opponents when dominating possession, takes low-quality shots from distance, and has experienced a notable drop in sprinting intensity compared to the 2025-26 campaign.

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