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Forest are joint-top of the (expected points) Premier League table. What does that tell us?

Oliver Glasner's side are showing promise, and the data backs that up - but the same old failings cost them again.

Published: Saturday, 24 October 2026 at 6:20 AM
Forest are joint-top of the (expected points) Premier League table. What does that tell us?
Key Things to Know
  • Nottingham Forest sit joint-top of the Premier League expected points table despite being 16th in reality.
  • Oliver Glasner's side drew 1-1 against Ipswich Town after outshooting their hosts 17 to seven.
  • Forest have severely underperformed their expected goals tally, scoring just six goals from 13.4 xG.
The Story in 60 Seconds

Nottingham Forest sit joint-top of the Premier League expected points table with 14 expected points, despite sitting 16th in the actual standings following a 1-1 draw against Ipswich Town. Head coach Oliver Glasner praised his team's effort and spirit after Forest dominated chances at Portman Road, producing 17 shots and an expected goals figure of 2.31 without securing all three points.

The article highlights that Forest have struggled to convert opportunities, underperforming their xG by 7.4 goals across the season. Neco Williams scored Forest's opener before departing with an elbow injury, while an under-hit back pass from Nikola Milenkovic allowed Julio Enciso to equalize for Ipswich. Captain Morgan Gibbs-White urged the squad to take ownership of missed chances.

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