On Tuesday, I looked at historical comps to Vladimir Guerrero jr.’s miserable 2026 season. The takeaway was that this kind of collapse is rare, occurring just about 1% of the time for players under 30 who don’t miss major time…
Tom Mullie analyzes the underlying causes of Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s difficult 2026 season with the Toronto Blue Jays, evaluating his pitch selection, mechanics, and contact quality. While Guerrero retained elite bat speed at 76.3 mph and posted a career-best 82% contact rate, his quality of contact dropped significantly due to shifts in attack angle and contact depth.
Mullie argues that Guerrero's struggles stemmed from timing issues rather than mechanical collapse or pitch-mix changes, leading to fewer squared-up balls and barrels. He concludes this provides optimism for recovery since core physical skills remain intact, though fixing his timing is crucial for Toronto's future.
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