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NASCAR Contender Rankings: Clinching Scenarios For Last 3 Drivers In The Chase

Three drivers are still in the hunt for The Chase, and now it all comes down to Homestead. Here's how the last race in the NASCAR season could unfold.

Published: Monday, 2 November 2026 at 3:00 PM
NASCAR Contender Rankings: Clinching Scenarios For Last 3 Drivers In The Chase
Key Things to Know
  • Kyle Larson holds a commanding points lead over Christopher Bell and Denny Hamlin entering the Homestead-Miami season finale.
  • Larson clinches the NASCAR Cup Series title by earning just nine points, equivalent to a 28th-place finish.
  • Christopher Bell must win the race and collect at least 14 stage points to maintain championship hopes.
The Story in 60 Seconds

Kyle Larson leads the NASCAR Cup Series standings heading into the season finale at Homestead-Miami Speedway, holding a commanding 67-point advantage over Christopher Bell and a 70-point lead over Denny Hamlin. Larson holds the tiebreaker advantage and needs only nine points—equivalent to a 28th-place finish without stage points—to clinch his third Cup championship.

FOX Sports reports that both Bell and Hamlin face steep uphill battles, requiring race victories along with substantial stage points while needing Larson to falter. The writer views Hamlin's chances as doubtful given past track performance, while noting Bell poses a potential threat despite Larson remaining the heavy favorite.

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