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How will the Rockets do this season?

Happy start of the NBA Season! With the Rockets’ season kicking off at home against the Dallas Mavericks, I figured now was a good time to get into my pre-season predictions. Just a note before we start: all odds come…

Published: Wednesday, 21 October 2026 at 4:00 PM
How will the Rockets do this season?
Key Things to Know
  • Holly Sturm predicts the Houston Rockets will win 55 games and secure a top-four Western Conference seed.
  • The writer expects Alperen Sengun to lead Houston in scoring, with Amen Thompson as another strong candidate.
  • Sturm selects Reed Sheppard as the breakout player and highlights Marcus Smart and Tari Eason off the bench.
The Story in 60 Seconds

Holly Sturm of The Dream Shake outlines predictions for the Houston Rockets ahead of their season opener against the Dallas Mavericks. Sturm projects Houston to finish with 55 regular-season wins and secure a top-three or top-four seed in the Western Conference. Sturm also predicts Alperen Sengun will serve as the team's leading scorer, while noting Amen Thompson could also contend for the scoring lead.

Sturm selects Reed Sheppard as the team's potential breakout young player in a bench-shooting role and highlights Marcus Smart and Tari Eason as top bench contributors. Ultimately, Sturm forecasts a second- or third-round playoff exit for Houston, arguing that the San Antonio Spurs and Oklahoma City Thunder remain the premier contenders in the conference.

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