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After some not-so-great picks last season, let's try again to identify some squads that could surpass their expected win totals.

An analysis evaluates NBA regular-season win totals against BetMGM preseason projections for the upcoming 2026-27 season. The preview examines franchises projected to surpass expectations, beginning with the Orlando Magic, whose preseason over/under total is set at 43.5 wins following a 45-win campaign last season.
The Magic's outlook is evaluated following an offseason coaching change that brought in Sean Sweeney. Despite previous injury absences totaling 83 missed games across a core featuring Franz Wagner, Paolo Banchero, Jalen Suggs, and Desmond Bane, Orlando is identified as a candidate to exceed its win projection.
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