The 2026 NFL playoff picture entering Week 5 has the Chiefs and 49ers atop their conferences, with Jacksonville and Minnesota sitting second. PFF projections identify Denver as the team with the week's biggest playoff leverage, with its postseason chances ranging…
Pro Football Focus has released its Week 5 playoff projections for the 2026 NFL season, using analytical modeling to project postseason chances and draft positioning across both conferences. According to the model, the Kansas City Chiefs and San Francisco 49ers lead the AFC and NFC respectively as top contenders for the number one overall seeds.
The Denver Broncos face the biggest playoff leverage swing of Week 5, with their postseason odds projected at 71.6% with a victory compared to 42.2% with a defeat. Meanwhile, the Miami Dolphins are projected with a 39.5% chance to land the top pick in the 2027 NFL Draft.
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