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NFL Week 9 Bets: Matchups to target

NFL betting analysis identifies opportunities in Washington's matchup against the Rams and Indianapolis' game against Dallas. Jayden Daniels leads a Commanders offense that has generated a league-best 7% explosive-play rate since Week 5, while the Cowboys' improved coverage could challenge…

Published: Sunday, 8 November 2026 at 1:30 PM
NFL Week 9 Bets: Matchups to target
Key Things to Know
  • PFF's Judah Fortgang recommends targeting Jayden Daniels overs and Washington bets against the Los Angeles Rams.
  • Washington leads the NFL with a 7% explosive-play rate since quarterback Jayden Daniels returned in Week 5.
  • The Rams enter the matchup ranking among the league's bottom 10 teams in explosive plays allowed.
The Story in 60 Seconds

PFF analyst Judah Fortgang highlights favorable betting angles for the Washington Commanders against the Los Angeles Rams, driven by Washington's league-leading 7% explosive-play rate since quarterback Jayden Daniels returned in Week 5. The analysis projects Daniels and the Commanders' passing offense to exploit a Rams defense that ranks among the bottom 10 in explosive plays, passing yards per game, and yards allowed per pass attempt.

Fortgang also evaluates a matchup between the Dallas Cowboys and Indianapolis Colts, noting Dallas has climbed into the top 10 in perfect coverage rate since acquiring Joey Porter Jr. With Colts quarterback Daniel Jones ranking in the bottom five in EPA per play against perfect coverage, the writer advises targeting under props on Jones and the Colts.

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