Bears vs. Packers prediction, odds, time: 2026 NFL Week 5 picks from proven model

SportsLine's model reveals its Chicago Bears vs. Green Bay Packers best bets for Sunday in Week 5

By Daniel Kohn · Packernet

Published: Saturday, 10 October 2026 at 6:45 PM

Key Things to Know

SportsLine's predictive model projects the total to go over 46.5 points in the Bears versus Packers matchup.
The Chicago Bears enter the Week 5 road game as 1.5-point betting favorites over the Green Bay Packers.
Quarterback Tyson Bagent will start for Chicago as Caleb Williams continues his recovery from a hamstring injury.

The Story in 60 Seconds

The Chicago Bears travel to face the Green Bay Packers at Lambeau Field in an NFC North clash on Sunday. Chicago enters the game as a 1.5-point road favorite with the over/under line set at 46.5 points. After simulating the matchup 10,000 times, SportsLine's predictive model projects the teams to combine for 49 points, recommending a pick on the Over.

Bears backup quarterback Tyson Bagent is slated to start under head coach Ben Johnson while Caleb Williams recovers from a hamstring injury. Bagent recently threw for 268 yards in a 23-12 win over the New York Jets. Meanwhile, Jordan Love leads the 2-2 Packers, having thrown eight touchdowns and 1,041 yards across four starts.

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Bears vs. Packers prediction, odds, time: 2026 NFL Week 5 picks from proven model

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