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Why Rangers should have some concern about worrisome metrics for defensemen

The New York Rangers are among the top defensive teams in the NHL, allowing just 2.18 goals against per game, but is that sustainable with the worrisome underlying numbers for their defensemen.

Published: Tuesday, 20 October 2026 at 5:32 PM
Why Rangers should have some concern about worrisome metrics for defensemen
Key Things to Know
  • Tom Castro argues underlying metrics show New York Rangers defense pairings are struggling to drive positive 5-on-5 possession.
  • The Rangers are off to a 7-3-1 start and rank fourth in goals allowed per game at 2.18.
  • The defensive pair of Sean Durzi and Marcus Pettersson holds an expected goal share of just 42.9 percent.
The Story in 60 Seconds

Tom Castro argues that the New York Rangers should be concerned about negative possession metrics among their defensemen despite a strong 7-3-1 start to the 2026-27 season. Through 11 games, the Rangers rank fourth in the NHL with 2.18 goals allowed per game, but underlying numbers show all three defensive pairings have struggled to control play at 5-on-5.

Castro highlights that the pairings of Sean Durzi with Marcus Pettersson and Alberts Smits with Braden Schneider hold poor expected goal shares below 43 percent. He suggests strong forward support and forechecking under coach Mike Sullivan are masking these blue-line deficiencies, warning that relying on unproven goalie Dylan Garand could become unsustainable if pairings are not adjusted.

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