Daniil Medvedev vs Pablo Carreno Busta preview, head-to-head, odds, prediction, & betting tips | China Open 2026

Third seed Daniil Medvedev will take on qualifier Pablo Carreno Busta in the first round of the China Open on Thursday. Medvedev enters the tournament following a title victory over Andrey Rublev at the Hangzhou Open, which marked his third trophy of the 2026 season. Carreno Busta secured his spot in Beijing's main draw by defeating Yi Zhou and Adrian Mannarino in straight sets during qualifying.

Medvedev holds a 5-2 head-to-head record against Carreno Busta, including victories in their last two encounters and a 4-2 edge on hard courts. The writer notes that Medvedev holds a significant tactical and confidence advantage, especially with his strong serve, while Carreno Busta will rely on baseline consistency to contest the match.