Free extension for sports fans

DO REGULAR SEASON RECORDS MATTER?

The 2022 Dodgers-Padres series may be the modern equivalent of 1988. Los Angeles went 111-51, finished 22 games ahead of San Diego, and absolutely owned the Padres, going 14-5 against them and winning all six regular-season series. Then San Diego…

Published: Friday, 2 October 2026 at 3:01 AM
DO REGULAR SEASON RECORDS MATTER?
Key Things to Know
  • Mark Timmons argues that regular-season records are a weak predictor of success in the MLB postseason.
  • Timmons cites the 1988 Dodgers, 2022 Padres, and 2023 Diamondbacks as examples of playoff upsets defying regular-season records.
  • The writer attributes the postseason disconnect to small sample sizes where elite pitching rotations outweigh overall roster depth.
The Story in 60 Seconds

Writer Mark Timmons examines whether regular-season dominance predicts MLB postseason success ahead of the Los Angeles Dodgers' playoff series against the Atlanta Braves. Timmons argues that regular-season records indicate general team quality but serve as unreliable predictors in October. He highlights historical upsets, including the 1988 Dodgers defeating the 100-win New York Mets and recent postseason defeats for Los Angeles against the San Diego Padres in 2022 and Arizona Diamondbacks in 2023.

Timmons explains that the disconnect stems from collapsed sample sizes in short playoff series, where organizational depth matters far less than top pitching rotations. While noting that the Atlanta Braves dominated the Dodgers during the regular season, Timmons contends that October baseball renders regular-season head-to-head records unpredictable.

Never Miss a Sports Update

Get the latest sports news and top stories from MySportsTab delivered straight to your inbox.

No spam. Just the latest sports news and updates.