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Ballon d’Or Preview: Odds, prediction, and how to watch

For the first time in history, the prominent Ballon d’Or ceremony will be held in London. Besides a brief stint from 2010 to 2015 when the award was merged with FIFA’s World Player of the Year, it has traditionally been…

By Michael Scott · Bavarian Football Works

Published: Saturday, 24 October 2026 at 5:30 AM

Key Things to Know

Harry Kane enters the London Ballon d’Or ceremony as the heavy favorite to win the award.
Polymarket gives Kane a 74% chance of winning, ahead of Lamine Yamal and Kylian Mbappé.
Writer Michael Scott predicts Kane will win following a season featuring 73 goals and two domestic trophies.

The Story in 60 Seconds

The 2026 Ballon d’Or ceremony is set to take place at the London Palladium on Monday, October 26, 2026, marking the first time the event is hosted in London. Bayern Munich striker Harry Kane enters the presentation as the leading favorite to win the award, holding a 74% chance according to Polymarket odds.

Writer Michael Scott predicts Kane will secure the trophy over finalists Lamine Yamal and Kylian Mbappé following a season where Kane scored 73 goals across all competitions. A victory would make Kane the first English recipient since Michael Owen in 2001 and Bayern Munich's first winner since Karl-Heinz Rummenigge in 1981.

Read the full article on Bavarian Football Works

Ballon d’Or Preview: Odds, prediction, and how to watch

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