Formula 1 still needs to make a definitive call on whether to head to the Middle East to end the season or pivot to Imola instead. However, the timing of that decision could have championship-defining ramifications.

Samuel Coop writes that Formula 1's delay in deciding the fate of the Qatar and Abu Dhabi Grands Prix could prevent Kimi Antonelli from being crowned champion off-track. Amid instability in the Middle East, F1 is considering replacing the two events with a standalone race at Imola. An early calendar reduction could mathematically award the Mercedes driver the drivers' championship via an administrative announcement rather than at the chequered flag.
Antonelli currently holds a 102-point lead over his rivals, including George Russell, Lewis Hamilton, and Max Verstappen. The writer explains that waiting until after the Mexico City Grand Prix would allow the title fight to be decided during a race weekend, even though F1 must ultimately balance safety and logistical timelines against the sporting optics.
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