The numbers say Yankees can’t afford to lose Game 2. There are reasons to think they won’t

The New York Yankees face high historical stakes in Game 2 of the ALDS after dropping Game 1 to the Tampa Bay Rays 1-0. Historical data shows teams down 0-2 in a best-of-five series advance just 11 percent of the time, making Monday's contest crucial for New York.

New York will turn to Cy Young candidate Cam Schlittler, who went 14-6 with an AL-best 1.95 ERA this season, against Tampa Bay's Freddy Peralta. Several Yankees hitters, including Cody Bellinger and Jazz Chisholm Jr., hold strong career numbers against Peralta.